Research Report
Question: You are a rigorous financial research analyst. Ground EVERY quantitative claim in data you actually pulled from the finance tools — never invent a price, multiple, or indicator. Answer the REQUEST below by:
- Identifying the specific publicly-tradable assets (tickers) it concerns. When the request is open-ended (e.g. "top up-and-coming tech companies"), first find concrete candidates: use
finance_data(action=search) to resolve names to tickers, and web search / the browser for qualitative discovery. - For EVERY ticker you discuss, pull real data with the finance tools:
finance_dataaction=analyze — LIVE price, % returns, 52-week range position, and the indicator panel (RSI-14, MACD, SMA 50/200, VWMA-20/67, trend). Batch multiple tickers in one call.finance_dataaction=fundamentals — market cap, P/E & forward P/E, PEG, margins, revenue growth, analyst target & rating (use for valuation).finance_dataaction=quote source=pyth — fastest realtime spot price (esp. crypto) with a confidence band, when you need the very latest tick.finance_dataaction=liquidation — the VWMA-67 'true price' and leverage liquidation levels (great for crypto/timing context).finance_news— recent catalysts/sentiment (macro + per-ticker headlines).finance_insider— corporate insider (SEC Form 4) and, with scope=congress, political trades, to see informed-money flow. If scope=congress returns abrowser_fallback(the free API was gated), follow it: use thebrowsertool on the given capitoltrades.com URL(s) and read the rendered trades table.
- Writing a concise report: a short investment thesis for each asset (why it is interesting, grounded in the pulled price/fundamentals/news/insider data), then a summary table with columns: Ticker | Price | 1d% | 5d% | 20d% | RSI | P/E | Trend. Rank assets by thesis strength, cite notable news/insider signals, and clearly flag any ticker you could not fetch.
REQUEST: How did the US stock market perform today, including the major indices, the biggest movers, and what drove them?
Date: 2026-09-25T04:58:17.062414868+00:00
Coverage window: 2026-09-25 – 2026-09-25
Rounds: 1
Status: PARTIAL
Objective check — 0 of 6 criteria met
The run produced work, but the objective below is not fully achieved. Each unmet criterion names what is still outstanding.
- UNVERIFIABLE — The report states a closing level AND 1-day % change for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite and Russell 2000, each traced to a finance_data pull or a dated 2026-09-25 source
- the grader returned no verdict for this criterion
- UNVERIFIABLE — The report names at least 4 individual US-listed tickers as biggest movers of the session with their exact 1-day % move and the specific catalyst attributed to each
- the grader returned no verdict for this criterion
- UNVERIFIABLE — The report identifies the single primary macro driver of the 2026-09-25 session (e.g. specific Fed action, CPI/PPI/jobs print, tariff or geopolitical event) with the source and date it was published
- the grader returned no verdict for this criterion
- UNVERIFIABLE — The report includes a sector-level breakdown showing at least the top 2 and bottom 2 S&P sectors by 2026-09-25 performance with % changes
- the grader returned no verdict for this criterion
- UNVERIFIABLE — The report includes a same-day cross-asset context block with values for the 10-year Treasury yield, VIX, WTI/Brent crude and the US Dollar Index on 2026-09-25
- the grader returned no verdict for this criterion
- UNVERIFIABLE — The final summary table contains the exact columns Ticker | Price | 1d% | 5d% | 20d% | RSI | P/E | Trend and every row is populated from pulled data or flagged 'unavailable'
- the grader returned no verdict for this criterion
1 of 6 worker results were withheld as not deliverable and are NOT part of the analysis below. Their absence narrows the evidence base — see “Withheld worker results”. Consider re-running.
Evidence: 108 claims · 60 sourced · 10 partial · 4 unsupported · 32 self-reported (no independent source) · 24 single-source
Executive Summary
There is no 2026-09-25 US closing session to report — as of the research cut, the Friday session had not produced a verified close in any source, and one finding places the pull at 00:54 ET (2026-09-25T04:54Z), roughly 8.5 hours before the 09:30 ET open. Every finance_data pull returned its latest daily bar as 2026-09-24, CNBC's current live blog describes pre-market futures, not a close, and https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.html returned 404. So: no verified 2026-09-25 index close, no 1-day % change, no sector winner/laggard table, and no close-to-close mover list exist to report. I have not filled those from memory.
What is verifiable as of 2026-09-25 is the pre-session state and the drivers behind it:
- Futures were flat-to-slightly-lower: S&P 500 futures −0.05%, Dow futures +3 points (+0.01%), Nasdaq-100 futures "inched higher" (no figure given) — CNBC page stamped "Updated Fri, Sep 25 2026 12:15 AM EDT" (cnbc.com).
- The driver was the bond market, not equities. The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.225% "late Thursday," the highest since 2007; the 30-year was 5.502%; the 30-year fixed mortgage was 7.45%. Fed funds futures price a ~68% chance of a rate hike in October (CME FedWatch). CNBC attributes the move to hawkish comments from Fed Governor Michael Barr, persistently high energy prices from the Iran war, and a hot PMI report (cnbc.com).
- Oil was falling on de-escalation headlines: US and Iranian negotiators discussing a phased deal (Strait of Hormuz navigation in exchange for ending the US naval blockade); Brent Nov $93.66 (−1%), WTI Nov $105.86 (−0.68%) — note these two CNBC figures invert the normal WTI-below-Brent relationship and conflict with the finance-tool proxies (WTI ~$93.17, Brent ~$98.94). Flagged, not resolved.
- The largest named single-stock catalyst in the window: US-listed Oracle (ORCL) fell more than 3% overnight after sending a "force majeure" notice tied to its New Mexico data center project.
- Week-to-date as of 2026-09-25: Dow heading for a fourth straight losing week, −0.6% WTD; S&P 500 +0.7%; Nasdaq +1.6%.
The only dated same-day index number found is a CFD, not the cash close: Trading Economics' US 500 dataset shows the index at 7,697, −0.09% on 2026-09-25, explicitly "based on trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks this benchmark index" (tradingeconomics.com). Do not read it as the S&P 500 close.
Major Indices
2026-09-25 closing levels and 1-day changes: UNAVAILABLE. No source dated inside the window carried a cash close.
Last completed session — 2026-09-24 (finance_data action=analyze, all pulls last_bar: 2026-09-24 13:30 UTC). This is background, outside the 2026-09-25 window, and is not evidence about today's tape.
| ETF proxy | Index it tracks | Close 2026-09-24 | 1d% | 5d% | 20d% | RSI-14 | P/E | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY | S&P 500 | 767.18 | −0.08% | +0.60% | +0.14% | 52.47 | unavailable | strong_uptrend |
| QQQ | Nasdaq-100 | 741.10 | −0.02% | +3.37% | +4.18% | 63.13 | unavailable | strong_uptrend |
| DIA | Dow 30 | 512.68 | −0.32% | −1.09% | −4.03% | 36.40 | unavailable | downtrend |
| IWM | Russell 2000 | 281.66 | −0.09% | −1.32% | −5.78% | 34.09 | unavailable | downtrend |
| VIX | — | 15.67 | +3.23% | +1.49% | +3.02% | 49.86 | n/a | strong_downtrend |
Index-level proxies (2026-09-24, and they do not agree with each other — treat as approximate, not settlement values): S&P 500 proxies printed 7,698.03 (+0.03%) and 7,704.13; Dow proxies 51,355.15 (−0.31%) and 51,349.98; Nasdaq-100 30,478.86 (+0.03%) / 30,499.50 (+0.18%); Russell 2000 2,835.57 (−0.11%). Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) was never fetchable — ^GSPC, ^DJI, ^IXIC, ^RUT, ^VIX, ^TNX, CL=F, BZ=F, DX-Y.NYB all returned "no data on any exchange," so the Composite is reported as unavailable rather than proxied by the Nasdaq-100.
Sector breakdown: UNAVAILABLE. No in-window source contained S&P 500 sector-level changes. (The financials −1.11% / basic materials −1.04% / tech −1.03% figures on the CNBC page are Hong Kong Hang Seng sectors, not US.)
Biggest Movers
No close-to-close mover list exists for 2026-09-25. The only dated list is pre-market (4:00–9:30 AM ET) and its percentages are pre-market moves, not closing moves (premarketprice.com, page "Premarket stock movers — September 25, 2026").
| Ticker | Pre-market % | Source-labelled catalyst |
|---|---|---|
| AKAM | +21.67% | "Major contract" (day's largest gainer) |
| TXG | +12.30% | — |
| PL | +9.77% | — |
| RVTY | +7.71% | — |
| TEM | +7.01% | — |
| CRL | +6.73% | — |
| ICLR | +6.10% | — |
| GDDY | +3.76% | — |
| CTAS | +2.97% | — |
| UBS | +1.66% | — |
| GEN | −11.64% | — |
| KGC | −11.44% | — |
| MGM | −11.02% | "Legal / regulatory" (8.5σ, most statistically unusual) |
| SNX | −9.87% | "Earnings release" (4.7× relative volume) |
| FSLR | −9.70% | — |
| ROL | −6.25% | — |
| U | −6.01% | — |
| XYL | −5.13% | — |
| WY | −4.68% | — |
| CCK | −3.67% | — |
Three caveats that matter: (1) the AKAM, MGM and SNX catalyst labels are unverified — no filing, press release or earnings document was checked against them, and the page is machine-generated (its OpenGraph title names TWST +16.1% while its body and structured data name AKAM +21.67%, indicating mid-premarket leadership rotation). (2) Earnings were not the driver — Earnings Whispers lists only 3 reporters on 2026-09-25 (TBN, AFB, AMTY), all pre-open, with no large-cap S&P 500 constituent. (3) A one-day "gainers" list from weeklytrader.io showing BAC +14.04%, MSFT +13.73%, WMT +11.97%, XOM +11.90%, NVDA +11.09%, JPM +11.02% simultaneously was rejected — it is internally contradictory (the page self-stamps "Market Closed · Last updated 4:48 AM UTC") and economically implausible. Those figures appear nowhere else in this report.
The only regular-session mover with both a figure and a pull behind it is META +4.50% on 2026-09-24 (price 777.59, 99.1st percentile of its 52-week range; that is background, not today, and no dated 2026-09-25 catalyst for it was established).
| Ticker | Price | 1d% | 5d% | 20d% | RSI | P/E | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPY ‡ | 767.18 | −0.08% | +0.60% | +0.14% | 52.47 | unavailable | strong_uptrend |
| QQQ ‡ | 741.10 | −0.02% | +3.37% | +4.18% | 63.13 | unavailable | strong_uptrend |
| DIA ‡ | 512.68 | −0.32% | −1.09% | −4.03% | 36.40 | unavailable | downtrend |
| IWM ‡ | 281.66 | −0.09% | −1.32% | −5.78% | 34.09 | unavailable | downtrend |
| VIX ‡ | 15.67 | +3.23% | +1.49% | +3.02% | 49.86 | n/a | strong_downtrend |
| AKAM † | unavailable | +21.67% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| MGM † | unavailable | −11.02% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| SNX † | unavailable | −9.87% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| TXG † | unavailable | +12.30% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| GEN † | unavailable | −11.64% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| FSLR † | unavailable | −9.70% | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable |
| ORCL | P/E 22.69 trailing / 12.69 fwd; 52w range 114.50–322.54 | >−3% (overnight, no exact close-to-close %) | unavailable | unavailable | unavailable | 22.69 | unavailable |
‡ = 2026-09-24 session (background). † = 2026-09-25 pre-market move, not a close. ORCL price/RSI were not retrievable via analyze; the fundamentals panel returned P/E and the 52-week range only.
Analysis
The two-tier market is the story that carries over into today. On 2026-09-24, QQQ sat at the 96.3rd percentile of its 52-week range in a strong uptrend (RSI 63.13, +4.18% over 20 days) while DIA and IWM were in outright downtrends (RSI 36.40 and 34.09; −4.03% and −5.78% over 20 days). The pre-market tape on 2026-09-25 is consistent with that split rather than a break from it: S&P futures −0.05%, Dow futures +0.01%, tech futures marginally higher.
The actual driver is rates, and the news flow is unusually unambiguous about it. A 2026-09-25T00:12:54Z headline reads "S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Ease As Treasury Yields Continue To [climb] … amid inflation concerns," matching CNBC's Barr / Iran-war energy prices / hot-PMI attribution and the 10-year at 5.225%. This is a rate-driven, multiple-compressing backdrop — which is exactly the regime in which a Dow/Russell downtrend coexists with a large-cap tech uptrend, since the tech bid is earnings- and narrative-driven while the broader index is discount-rate-sensitive.
Two in-window threads cut against the bearish rate narrative and are worth watching into the close. Xi Jinping's remarks that US–China ties "reach new high" (2026-09-25T00:03–00:14Z) and the US–Iran phased-deal talks moved oil down (Brent −1%), which is disinflationary at the margin. Separately, oil-supply risk headlines ran the other way the same morning — "Strait of Hormuz commodity vessel crossings drop" (03:39:39Z) and a strike on the Novoshakhtinsk refinery in Rostov (04:32:01Z).
What I will not do is attribute a move to a driver, because no verified 2026-09-25 move exists. The headlines above are dated in-window inputs; they are not verified explanations of a verified close. Likewise, the AKAM/MGM/SNX catalyst labels are single-source and unchecked.
Risks & Open Questions
- The report is incomplete by construction, not by omission. A genuine 2026-09-25 recap requires a post-16:00 ET re-run: the same daily pulls will carry a 2026-09-25 bar,
action=fundamentalscan populate P/E, and a dated wrap can supply sectors and movers. Nothing here should be used as a session recap. - No dated in-window source found for: 2026-09-25 official index closes and 1-day changes (S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Composite, Russell 2000); S&P 500 sector winners/laggards; 2026-09-25 VIX, 10-year yield, WTI/Brent and DXY as closing prints.
- Nasdaq Composite is unreachable —
^IXICreturned no data, and the Nasdaq-100 (30,478.86) is a different index. Do not substitute it. - The oil picture is internally contradictory. CNBC's WTI Nov $105.86 above its Brent Nov $93.66 inverts the normal spread and disagrees with the tool proxies (WTI ~$93.17, Brent ~$98.94). The WTI/Brent spread cannot be computed reliably from what exists.
- Index-level proxies disagree (S&P 500 at 7,698.03 vs 7,704.13 vs the 2026-09-25 CFD at 7,697) — use the ETF proxies for anything quantitative.
finance_data quote source=pythfailed for every symbol (HTTP 401), so no realtime spot tick was available to check the pre-market against.- Symbol-resolution traps to avoid on any re-run:
LMTandUNHresolved to TSX at C$29.67 and C$17.13 (not the US securities);GOLDresolved to Barrick Gold the miner at $43.48, not bullion;US30returned 94.875, which is not a Dow level.
Claims without independent support
These statements appear in the narrative above but are not backed by text retrieved from a source. SELF-REPORTED means the only thing asserting it is the swarm's own worker output — the narrative was written from that output, so it corroborates nothing. Treat all of these as unverified.
- [SELF-REPORTED] There is no 2026-09-25 US closing session to report — as of the research cut, the Friday session had not produced a verified close in any source, and one finding places the pull at 00:54 ET (2026-09-25T04:54Z), roughly 8.5 hours before the 09:30 ET open.** Every
finance_datapull returned its latest daily bar as 2026-09-24, CNBC's current live blog describes pre-market futures, not a close, andhttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.htmlreturned 404. - [PARTIAL] Futures were flat-to-slightly-lower: S&P 500 futures −0.05%, Dow futures +3 points (+0.01%), Nasdaq-100 futures "inched higher" (no figure given) — CNBC page stamped "Updated Fri, Sep 25 2026 12:15 AM EDT" (cnbc.com). (unmatched: 0.05, 0.01)
- [PARTIAL] The driver was the bond market, not equities. The 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.225% "late Thursday," the highest since 2007; the 30-year was 5.502%; the 30-year fixed mortgage was 7.45%. (unmatched: 5.225, 30, 5.502, 7.45)
- [UNSUPPORTED] Fed funds futures price a ~68% chance of a rate hike in October (CME FedWatch). (unmatched: 68)
- [SELF-REPORTED] Oil was falling on de-escalation headlines: US and Iranian negotiators discussing a phased deal (Strait of Hormuz navigation in exchange for ending the US naval blockade); Brent Nov $93.66 (−1%), WTI Nov $105.86 (−0.68%) — note these two CNBC figures invert the normal WTI-below-Brent relationship and conflict with the finance-tool proxies (WTI ~$93.17, Brent ~$98.94).
- [SELF-REPORTED] The largest named single-stock catalyst in the window: US-listed Oracle (ORCL) fell more than 3% overnight after sending a "force majeure" notice tied to its New Mexico data center project.
- [SELF-REPORTED] Last completed session — 2026-09-24** (finance_data
action=analyze, all pullslast_bar: 2026-09-24 13:30 UTC). - [SELF-REPORTED] This is background, outside the 2026-09-25 window, and is not evidence about today's tape.
- [UNSUPPORTED] 1d%
- [UNSUPPORTED] 5d%
- [SELF-REPORTED] 767.18
- [SELF-REPORTED] −0.08%
- [SELF-REPORTED] 52.47
- [SELF-REPORTED] 741.10
- [SELF-REPORTED] −0.02%
- [SELF-REPORTED] +3.37%
- [SELF-REPORTED] +4.18%
- [SELF-REPORTED] 63.13
- [SELF-REPORTED] 512.68
- [SELF-REPORTED] −1.09%
- [SELF-REPORTED] −4.03%
- [SELF-REPORTED] 36.40
- [SELF-REPORTED] 281.66
- [SELF-REPORTED] −1.32%
- [SELF-REPORTED] −5.78%
- [SELF-REPORTED] 34.09
- [SELF-REPORTED] 15.67
- [SELF-REPORTED] +3.23%
- [SELF-REPORTED] +3.02%
- [SELF-REPORTED] 49.86
- [PARTIAL] Index-level proxies (2026-09-24, and they do not agree with each other — treat as approximate, not settlement values): S&P 500 proxies printed 7,698.03 (+0.03%) and 7,704.13; Dow proxies 51,355.15 (−0.31%) and 51,349.98; Nasdaq-100 30,478.86 (+0.03%) / 30,499.50 (+0.18%); Russell 2000 2,835.57 (−0.11%). (unmatched: 7698.03, 0.03, 7704.13, 51355.15, 51349.98, 30478.86, 30499.5, 0.18, 2835.57, 0.11)
- [SELF-REPORTED] (The financials −1.11% / basic materials −1.04% / tech −1.03% figures on the CNBC page are Hong Kong Hang Seng sectors, not US.)
- [UNSUPPORTED] Those figures appear nowhere else in this report.
- [PARTIAL] The only regular-session mover with both a figure and a pull behind it is META +4.50% on 2026-09-24 (price 777.59, 99.1st percentile of its 52-week range; that is background, not today, and no dated 2026-09-25 catalyst for it was established). (unmatched: 99.1)
- [PARTIAL] P/E 22.69 trailing / 12.69 fwd; 52w range 114.50–322.54 (unmatched: 22.69, 12.69, 114.5, 322.54)
- [SELF-REPORTED] 22.69
- [PARTIAL] The two-tier market is the story that carries over into today.** On 2026-09-24, QQQ sat at the 96.3rd percentile of its 52-week range in a strong uptrend (RSI 63.13, +4.18% over 20 days) while DIA and IWM were in outright downtrends (RSI 36.40 and 34.09; −4.03% and −5.78% over 20 days). (unmatched: 96.3, 52, 63.13, 4.18, 36.4, 34.09, 4.03, 5.78)
- [PARTIAL] The actual driver is rates, and the news flow is unusually unambiguous about it.** A 2026-09-25T00:12:54Z headline reads "S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq Futures Ease As Treasury Yields Continue To [climb] … amid inflation concerns," matching CNBC's Barr / Iran-war energy prices / hot-PMI attribution and the 10-year at 5.225%. (unmatched: 54, 5.225)
- [SELF-REPORTED] Likewise, the AKAM/MGM/SNX catalyst labels are single-source and unchecked.
- [PARTIAL] Nasdaq Composite is unreachable —
^IXICreturned no data, and the Nasdaq-100 (30,478.86) is a different index. (unmatched: 30478.86) - [SELF-REPORTED] Do not substitute it.
- [SELF-REPORTED] The oil picture is internally contradictory. CNBC's WTI Nov $105.86 above its Brent Nov $93.66 inverts the normal spread and disagrees with the tool proxies (WTI ~$93.17, Brent ~$98.94).
- [SELF-REPORTED] The WTI/Brent spread cannot be computed reliably from what exists.
- [PARTIAL] Index-level proxies disagree (S&P 500 at 7,698.03 vs 7,704.13 vs the 2026-09-25 CFD at 7,697) — use the ETF proxies for anything quantitative. (unmatched: 7698.03, 7704.13)
- [SELF-REPORTED]
finance_data quote source=pythfailed for every symbol (HTTP 401), so no realtime spot tick was available to check the pre-market against. - [PARTIAL] Symbol-resolution traps to avoid on any re-run:
LMTandUNHresolved to TSX at C$29.67 and C$17.13 (not the US securities);GOLDresolved to Barrick Gold the miner at $43.48, not bullion;US30returned 94.875, which is not a Dow level. (unmatched: 29.67, 17.13, 43.48, 94.875)
Withheld worker results
These workers did not return usable output, so their text was kept out of the analysis. Shown for diagnosis only — do not read them as findings.
- Round 0 · researcher-lazy-756fe899-fe40-4d35-8317-3bbcb6df18cc — worker hit its token budget before producing a final answer; output is raw reasoning (confidence 0.00)
[TRUNCATED — worker hit max_tokens before producing a final answer; the text below is raw reasoning, not a deliverable] Now I have critical information. The finance_data tool's latest daily bar is 2026-09-24 for QQQ. So the sector ETF data I pulled (change_pct_1 etc.)
Detailed Findings
Round 0 · Finding 1
US Equity Market Recap — 2026-09-25 (data-integrity-flagged)
⚠️ Critical data-availability statement (read first)
I was unable to obtain a verified 2026-09-25 closing level for any US cash index from the finance tools. The finance_data daily-bar series for every index proxy I pulled returned a last bar of 2026-09-24 13:30:00 — the session of 2026-09-25 is not present in the feed (e.g. SPY first_bar: 2025-09-26, last_bar: 2026-09-24; same for DIA, QQQ, IWM, UUP). Direct index symbols ^GSPC, ^DJI, ^IXIC, ^RUT, ^SPX, ^NDX, ^VIX, ^TNX, CL=F, BZ=F, DX-Y.NYB all returned "no data … on any exchange."
Consequently, the following required items are flagged UNAVAILABLE in this report rather than filled from memory: 2026-09-25 official index closes and 1-day changes (S&P 500 / Dow / Nasdaq Composite / Russell 2000); the 2026-09-25 sector-leader/laggard breakdown; and 2026-09-25 values for the 10-year Treasury yield, VIX, WTI/Brent crude and the US Dollar Index. Two of the third-party same-day sites I did reach are AI-generated SEO pages with internally contradictory numbers and are treated as unreliable (see "Source-reliability caveats").
1. What I could verify for 2026-09-25
Index level (single in-window datapoint, CFD — not the cash index close).
Trading Economics' dated dataset for the US 500 (a CFD tracking the benchmark) shows the index fell to 7,697 points on September 25, 2026, losing 0.09% from the previous session; over the past month +0.28%, and +15.86% year-over-year. The page's own JSON-LD carries "version":"20260925", "dateModified":"20260925T12:00:00Z", "temporalCoverage":"1928-01-03/2026-09-25" — i.e. a 2026-09-25 stamp.
Source: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market (page dated 2026-09-25)
Caveat: this is an intraday CFD snapshot, explicitly described as "according to trading on a contract for difference (CFD) that tracks this benchmark index" — it is NOT the official S&P 500 cash close and should not be reported as such.
Last confirmed finance-tool closes — session of 2026-09-24 (BACKGROUND for today, not today's data).
Pulled live from finance_data action=analyze (all show last_bar: 2026-09-24):
- SPY 767.18, 1d −0.082%, 5d +0.601%, 20d +0.144%, RSI-14 52.47, trend
strong_uptrend - DIA 512.68, 1d −0.315%, 5d −1.094%, 20d −4.034%, RSI-14 36.40, trend
downtrend - QQQ 741.10, 1d −0.015%, 5d +3.373%, 20d +4.179%, RSI-14 63.13, trend
strong_uptrend - IWM 281.66, 1d −0.092%, 5d −1.321%, 20d −5.777%, RSI-14 34.09, trend
downtrend - UUP (dollar ETF) 28.69, 1d +0.14%, 5d +1.092%, 20d +2.391% These are the 2026-09-24 session and are labelled as background only. They show a two-tier market: large-cap tech (QQQ, SPY) extended, while the Dow and Russell 2000 proxies were in downtrends on 2026-09-24.
2. Primary macro driver of the 2026-09-25 session
…(truncated — the summary above captures the substance)
Round 0 · Finding 2
US Equity Market Recap — Session Date: 2026-09-25 (2026-09-25..2026-09-25)
Executive Summary
The most important finding is a data-availability finding, and it governs everything below: as of my live pulls, the 2026-09-25 US cash session had not yet closed — and had not yet opened. Every finance tool returned its latest daily bar as 2026-09-24, the CNBC live blog for the current session is timestamped "Updated Fri, Sep 25 2026 12:15 AM EDT" and describes pre-market futures, not a close, and CNBC's /2026/09/25/ live-updates URL returned HTTP 404 (no page created yet). The newest wire headline available was timestamped 2026-09-25T04:32Z.
I therefore cannot state a closing level or a 1-day % change for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite or Russell 2000 for 2026-09-25, because no such close exists in any source I could reach. Per the mission's own rule (never invent or interpolate an index level or percentage), I am not going to fill that gap from memory or estimation. What I can deliver is: (a) the latest completed session, 2026-09-24, with real pulled price/return/indicator data; (b) the in-window 2026-09-25 pre-session cross-asset state and scheduled catalysts from a fetched, dated page; and (c) explicit "unavailable" flags wherever the required figure does not exist.
Confidence in the availability finding: High (0.9). Confidence in the specific figures below: High for finance_data pulls (they are tool outputs), Medium for single-source news figures.
Key Findings
…(truncated — the summary above captures the substance)
Round 0 · Finding 3
US Market Recap — Friday, 2026-09-25 (research cut-off: intraday)
0. Critical data-integrity note (read first)
I must be explicit about a boundary problem that affects almost every number below.
Every finance_data pull I made returned last_bar: 2026-09-24 (or 2026-09-24 23:00 for 24-hour instruments), not 2026-09-25. The only exception was UKOIL, which returned last_bar: 2026-09-25 00:00:00. This means the live feed's last completed session is Thursday 2026-09-24, and the figures I retrieved are the prior session's close — i.e. outside the mandated 2026-09-25..2026-09-25 window.
Corroborating evidence that the 2026-09-25 US session had not yet closed at research time:
- The same-day aggregator page I fetched (https://vittarthi.com/markets/us) is headed "US Stock Market Today Sep 25, 2026" and says figures are "updated post-session," but its only generated edition for 25 Sep is stamped "25 Sep 2026 · 09:30 IST" (= 04:00 ET), with the previous full wrap stamped "24 Sep 2026 · 19:00 IST." Its Key Indices / Market Wrap / Top Movers / Sectors / Rates sections rendered empty — no values.
- The same-day movers page I fetched (https://premarketprice.com/premarket-movers, dated September 25, 2026) covers the pre-market window 4:00–9:30 AM ET only.
Consequence: I can report the last completed session (2026-09-24) and the 2026-09-25 pre-market, but I cannot report a 2026-09-25 closing level, 2026-09-25 closing % change, or a 2026-09-25 sector table. I will not fabricate them. Per the mission rules, the 2026-09-24 figures are labelled BACKGROUND (out-of-window) and are never used to explain a 2026-09-25 close.
1. Major indices — last completed session (BACKGROUND, as-of 2026-09-24)
All from finance_data action=analyze (daily bars). Note the tickers that resolved: the caret symbols the task suggested (^GSPC, ^DJI, ^IXIC, ^RUT, ^TNX, ^IRX, ^VIX, ^SPX) all failed to resolve on any exchange; I substituted CFD/index symbols that did.
| Index (symbol used) | Level | 1d % | 5d % | 20d % | RSI-14 | Trend | 52-wk range position | As-of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
S&P 500 (SPX500, FOREXCOM CFD) | 7,698.03 | +0.03% | +0.50% | −0.20% | 53.0 | strong_uptrend | 92.1% | 2026-09-24 21:00 |
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI, TVC) | 51,355.15 | −0.31% | −0.83% | −3.95% | 36.9 | downtrend | 65.0% | 2026-09-24 13:30 |
Nasdaq-100 (NDX, NASDAQ) | 30,478.86 | +0.03% | +3.50% | +4.29% | 63.3 | strong_uptrend | 96.3% | 2026-09-24 13:30 |
Nasdaq-100 (NAS100, FOREXCOM CFD) | 30,499.50 | +0.18% | +2.81% | +3.55% | 64.1 | strong_uptrend | 96.3% | 2026-09-24 21:00 |
Russell 2000 (RUT, CBOE) | 2,835.57 | −0.11% | −1.36% | −5.67% | 34.4 | downtrend | 69.4% | 2026-09-24 13:30 |
…(truncated — the summary above captures the substance)
Round 0 · Finding 4
US Equity Market Recap — session date requested: 2026-09-25
0. Critical data-availability statement (read first)
I could not verify a completed 2026-09-25 US session close from any source. This is not a gap I am filling from memory — it is the state of the live record as of my pulls:
finance_data(action=analyze / action=history) returns its latest completed daily bar as2026-09-24 13:30:00UTC for every index and ETF I queried. No 2026-09-25 bar exists yet. So the tool-sourced closes below are the 2026-09-24 (Thursday) session, not 2026-09-25.- The CNBC live-blog URL pattern for the day,
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.html, returned HTTP 404 ("Not Found") — I fetched it and there is no CNBC live blog for 2026-09-25 (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.html). https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/nasdaq/todayreturned 404 (https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/nasdaq/today).- The pages whose titles carry the Sep 25, 2026 date (
stockmarketwatch.com/indices/sp500/today,/dowjones/today,vittarthi.com/markets/us) either contain no session data (vittarthi's index/sector/rates tables are JS-rendered and came back empty) or describe the prior (Thursday, Sept 24) session under a Sept 25 header — see §3, where I show the mismatch explicitly. finance_data action=quote source=pythfailed for every symbol (hermes: HTTP Error 401: Unauthorized), so no realtime spot tick was available either.
Consequence: everything below is either (a) live-pulled but stamped 2026-09-24, or (b) an in-window 2026-09-25 news headline. Where the mission requires a 2026-09-25 figure and none exists, I mark it UNAVAILABLE rather than substituting a neighbouring day's number. I am not categorising any item's status beyond what I actually saw.
1. Executive Summary
…(truncated — the summary above captures the substance)
Round 0 · Finding 5
US Market Recap Request — 2026-09-25: The Session Had Not Opened
1. Executive Summary
The single most important finding: there is no 2026-09-25 US trading session to recap. At the time of this research, the US cash equity market had not yet opened for Friday, 2026-09-25.
Two independent verifications:
- Live clock check (browser
eval, UTC + America/New_York):Fri Sep 25 2026 00:54:32 GMT-0400 (Eastern Daylight Time)/2026-09-25T04:54:32Z. The NYSE/Nasdaq regular session opens 09:30 ET — roughly 8.5 hours after the data pull. - CNBC live blog, page stamped "Updated Fri, Sep 25 2026 12:15 AM EDT" (in-window, 2026-09-25), opens: "U.S. equity futures were little changed early Friday as Treasury yields continued their climb. S&P 500 futures were down 0.05%… In Thursday's regular trading, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite both finished flat." — https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
Consequence for this deliverable: every success criterion that requires a 2026-09-25 closing level, a 2026-09-25 1-day % move, a 2026-09-25 sector ranking, or a 2026-09-25 mover list is impossible to satisfy from real data, because that session's outcome did not yet exist. Per the freshness rule (in-window = published 2026-09-25 only), I will not backfill it. What I can deliver: (a) the in-window pre-market/overnight picture dated 2026-09-25, and (b) the most recent completed session, 2026-09-24, clearly labeled as OUT-OF-WINDOW background with its data source and date.
2. What In-Window (2026-09-25) Sources Actually Show
All from the CNBC live blog, page updated Fri, Sep 25 2026 12:15 AM EDT (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/stock-market-today-live-updates.html):
| Item | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 futures (pre-market 2026-09-25) | -0.05% | as of ~12:15 AM ET 2026-09-25 |
| Nasdaq-100 futures | "inched higher" (no figure given) | source gave no number |
| Dow futures | +3 points, +0.01% | |
| US 10-year Treasury yield | 5.225% "late Thursday" | "highest level since 2007" |
| US 30-year Treasury yield | 5.502% | |
| 30-yr fixed mortgage | 7.45%, highest since 2024 | |
| Oct rate-hike odds | ~68%, per CME FedWatch | futures price a HIKE, not a cut |
| Brent Nov futures | $93.66, -1% | Iran diplomacy report |
| WTI Nov futures | $105.86, -0.68% | ⚠️ anomaly — see §5 |
…(truncated — the summary above captures the substance)
Investigation Trail
Round 0
- What were the closing levels and 1-day, 5-day and 20-day percentage changes on 2026-09-25 for the S&P 500 (^GSPC / SPY), Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI / DIA), Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC / QQQ) and Russell 2000 (^RUT / IWM)? Pull live data with finance_data action=analyze (batch the index ETFs in one call) and include the indicator panel (RSI-14, MACD, SMA50/200, trend) for each.
- Which specific US-listed stocks were the biggest movers on 2026-09-25 — top gainers and top losers among S&P 500 constituents and large caps — and what exact 1-day percentage move did each record? Use finance_data action=analyze and monocal__get_top_movers, then cross-check the names against dated 2026-09-25 market-wrap coverage.
- What events, headlines and data releases published or announced on 2026-09-25..2026-09-25 are being reported as the drivers of that day's US stock market move? Cover macro (Federal Reserve communications, CPI/PPI/jobs/GDP prints, tariff or trade actions, geopolitical developments) and use finance_news plus web search restricted to articles dated 2026-09-25.
- How did the 11 S&P 500 sector ETFs (XLK, XLF, XLE, XLV, XLI, XLY, XLP, XLU, XLB, XLRE, XLC) perform on 2026-09-25, and which sectors led and lagged? Pull each sector ETF's 1-day % change with finance_data action=analyze batch calls on 2026-09-25.
- What were the same-day cross-asset readings on 2026-09-25 that contextualize US equity moves: the 10-year and 2-year Treasury yields (^TNX, ^IRX or TLT/IEF), the VIX (^VIX), WTI and Brent crude (CL=F, BZ=F or USO), gold (GC=F or GLD) and the US Dollar Index (DX-Y.NYB or UUP)? Pull each with finance_data action=analyze or action=quote.
- Which companies reported earnings, issued guidance, or disclosed major corporate news (M&A, regulatory action, product announcements, analyst upgrades/downgrades) on 2026-09-25..2026-09-25 that materially moved their share price, and what was the resulting stock reaction in %? Check finance_news per-ticker headlines and dated 2026-09-25 coverage.
Sources
- https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market
- https://stocktwits.com/news-articles/markets/equity/s-and-p-500-…
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778513/…
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778571/…
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778548/…
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778308/…
- https://www.marketwatch.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-500-nasdaq-further-federal-reserve-interest-rate-hikes-treasury-yields
- https://premarketprice.com/premarket-movers
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778358/…
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778373/…
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778290/…
- https://beta.earningswhispers.com/calendar
- https://www.digrin.com/stocks/earnings_calendar
- https://www.earningstoday.com/earnings-calendar/daily/2026-09-25
- https://weeklytrader.io/gainers.php
- https://vittarthi.com/markets/us
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://stockmarkethours.org/stock-market-holidays-2026
- https://strongbuyanalytics.com/stock-market-outlook
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/24/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://the-calendar.net/finance/stock-market-holidays-2026/
- https://worldtimedata.com/financial-time/stock-market-holidays-2026-full-nyse-and-nasdaq-closure-calendar/
- https://calendarhours.com/stock-market-hours/
- https://investomatica.com/is-stock-market-open
- https://thestreetbrief.com/resources/stock-market-holidays
- https://www.nyse.com/publicdocs/nyse/ICE_NYSE_2026_Yearly_Trading_Calendar.pdf
- https://www.thestreet.com/stock-market-today/stock-market-today-dow-jones-sp-500-nasdaq-updates-sept-24-2026
- https://countryeconomy.com/stock-exchange/usa?dr=2026-09
- https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/stock-market?sa=u&ei=oscuvi_vm87uaom-gzah&ved=0cdcqfjag&usg=afqjcnft8xo94npdcodluglxnqi05ysxta
- https://www.investopedia.com/stock-market-today-dow-jones-s-and-p-500-09232026-12136110
- https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-092326
- https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ESPX/history/
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/20/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://premarketprice.com/gainers
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/movers/premarket
- https://www.stocktitan.net/rankings/stock-gains-monthly/2026/september
- https://www.cot-trading.com/market-movers
- https://www.wallstreetzen.com/stock-screener/biggest-stock-gainers-today
- https://www.siriusinvestors.com/stock/market-movers
- https://www.ainvest.com/market/movers-monitor/aug-25-2026-sep-23-2026/?page=1
- https://earnings-watcher.com/earnings-this-week
- https://stockti.com/earnings-calendar
- https://finquota.com/earning-calendar/
- https://finance.yahoo.com/calendar/earnings/
- https://www.earningstoday.com/earnings-calendar/weekly/2026-09-21
- https://zenvesto.com/earnings-calendar
- https://financhle.com/earnings-calendar
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/25/stock-market-today-live-updates.html`
- https://eskisignal.com/stock-market-holidays-2026/
- https://www.aistockselection.com/en/us-stock-market-holidays-2026/
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/02/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://bellhour.com/learn/stock-market-holidays-2026
- https://markets.businessinsider.com/premarket?op=1
- https://www.cnbc.com/markets/pre-markets/
- https://www.tipranks.com/markets/pre-market/gainers
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/dowjones/today
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778573/Internet-disruption-
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778573/
- https://www.financialjuice.com/News/9778573/Internet-disruption-…
- https://calendarhours.com/stock-market-holidays/
- https://www.nasdaq.net/PublicPages/assets/MyMID/Trade_Calendar_2026.pdf
- https://www.regardsofwallstreet.com/tools/market-hours
- https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stock-market-holiday-schedule
- https://wealthvieu.com/investing/stocks/stock-market-holidays/
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/nasdaq/today`
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/nasdaq/today
- https://tickerdaily.com/article/stock-market-today-september-24-2026-sandp-500-closes-near-flat-ahead-of-powell-speech
- https://robinhood.com/us/en/prediction-markets/financial/events/sp-500-futures-price-on-september-25-2026-sep-25-2026/
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/sp500/today
- https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2995035/stock-market-news-for-sep-24-2026
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/18/stock-market-next-week-outlook-for-sept-21-25-2026.html
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/live-broadcast.htm
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents.htm
- https://investinglive.com/central-banks/the-full-statement-from-the-federal-reserve-board-for-september-2026/
- https://www.fedchirp.com/
- https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/title/statements-speeches-jerome-h-powell-1164?browse=2010s
- https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/21/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KckGHaBLSn4
- https://centralbank.watch/hawkometer/fed-hawkometer/
- https://money.tmx.com/us-markets
- https://www.cnbc.com/stock-market-daily-recap/
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/nasdaq100/today
- https://tickerdaily.com/article/stock-market-today-september-4-2026-sandp-500-nasdaq-dow-close-recap
- https://www.thestreet.com/stock-market-today/stock-market-today-dow-jones-sp-500-nasdaq-updates-sept-22-2026
- https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/dow-jones-close-each-day-september-2026
- https://www.statmuse.com/money/ask/dow-jones-close-by-day-in-2026
- https://stockmarketwatch.com/indices/dowjones/reports/september-2026
- https://polymarket.com/event/djia-up-or-down-on-september-25-2026
- https://30rates.com/dow-jones
- https://www.eoddata.com/stockquote/INDEX/DJI.htm
- https://dowjonestoday.net/
- https://stockmarkethours.org/stock-market-holidays
- https://www.aistockselection.com/en/us-stock-market-holidays/
- https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-news-today-092426
- https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2994299/stock-market-news-for-sep-23-2026
Trace Index
Tool-call traces are persisted under /srv/swarm_web_runs/run-1790311415234-0004/finance_output/traces.